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Project Methodology
U.S.
survey methodology
The survey was designed
by an independent team of experts on public opinion and foreign policy
from the United States. Harris Interactive conducted 2,862 telephone interviews
in the United States among men and women,18 years of age and older, using
a random digit dialing technique with a national probability sample. In
addition, personal in-home interviews with a national probability sample
of 400 men and women 18 years of age and older were conducted using an
abridged version of the telephone questionnaire. All interviewing of the
general public was conducted between June 1 and June 30, 2002. Data for
the telephone and in-person interviews were weighted separately according
to known demographic characteristics of the population and merged to form
a combined sample (n=3,262). The margin of error, at the .05 probability
level, varies between 1.7 and 4 percentage points, depending upon whether
the entire sample or a random subsample was asked a given question. Data
prior to 2002, except for 1974, were collected by the Gallup Organization;
Harris collected the 1974 data. The CCFR surveys have been conducted every
four years since 1974. Ongoing analysis of the 2002 data has revealed
some systematic differences between telephone and in-person responses,
including a higher level of “not sure” responses in person.
The combined data set mitigates these differences. In addition, in interpreting
changes from the 1998 CCFR survey, conducted entirely in person, we have
adopted the conservative strategy of underscoring only those changes that
are apparent in both the telephone and the in-person 2002 data.
Transatlantic
survey methodology The
survey was designed by an independent team of experts on public
opinion and foreign policy from the United States and Europe.
In the six European countries (Great Britain, France, Germany,
Poland, Italy, and the Netherlands), MORI (Market & Opinion
Research International) conducted 6,001 telephone interviews among
men and women, 18 years of age and older using a random digit
dialing technique. In each of the six European countries, 1,000
interviews were conducted (1,001 for France) with a nationally
representative sample. The survey was conducted by telephone in
all countries except Poland, where the telephone penetration is
lower, and a face-to-face approach was used. All interviews were
conducted between June 1 and July 6, 2002. For results based on
the total sample in each of the six countries, one can say with
95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling and other
random effects is +/- 3 percentage points. For results based on
the total European sample, the margin or error varies between
+/- 0.8 and +/- 1.4 percentage points. The figures given for Europe
as a whole are weighted on the basis of adult population in each
of the six countries surveyed.
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